A recent survey by BMG for the I newspaper indicates that Labour is poised to achieve a landslide victory over the Conservative Party, similar to Tony Blair’s win in 1997, with a 17-point lead in popularity.
The poll shows that Keir Starmer’s Labour Party is favoured by voters on most issues, including traditionally conservative priorities such as crime, defense, and Brexit. The only issue where the Conservatives were favoured was on the war in Ukraine.
According to the poll, respondents had a net approval rating of -20 for Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, while Keir Starmer had a net approval rating of +3.
The survey results suggest that the Conservatives could face a significant defeat in the upcoming general election, expected to be held no later than January 2025. Labour won a 179-seat majority in 1997 under Blair’s leadership, and some projections indicate that many top Conservative MPs may lose their seats.
The survey found that if an election were held today, 46% of the public would vote for Labour, 29% for the Conservatives, 9% for the Liberal Democrats, 6% for Reform UK, and 4% for the Green Party. BMG Research conducted the survey by polling 1,500 adults online from Feb. 21 to Feb. 23, with no margin of error given.
Recently, Keir Starmer outlined his party’s five long-term “missions” for Britain if Labour wins power, which includes achieving the “highest sustained growth” in the Group of Seven nations, making the UK a “clean energy superpower,” and ensuring that the ailing National Health Service is fit for the future.
