Angus Energy PLC (AIM:ANGS) Updated Saltfleetby CPR

Updated Saltfleetby Competent Persons Report (“CPR”)

·    Updated CPR commissioned at the Company’s wholly-owned Saltfleetby Gas Field (“Saltfleetby” or “SGF”) on the basis of Angus’ decision to drill two new wells in 2025-2026, for a total of five wells producing from the Westphalian Main Reservoir along with potential for conversion for gas storage or CO2 injection in the future

·    P90 NPV10 valuation of £57.1 million and P50 NPV10 valuation of £64.5 million post tax, (including the full impact of the Energy Profits Levy)

·    Over 2 BCF of Sales Gas produced and exported since August 2022

·    Reserves uncertainty reduced from 2021 CPR with P90 Gross Sales Gas Reserves up by 8 BCF to 24.2 BCF and P50 Reserves decreased by 2.6 BCF to 27.2 BCF net of historic production

Revised Saltfleetby Competent Persons Report

Angus Energy Plc (AIM: ANGS) is pleased to share the updated Competent Persons Report (“CPR”) for its Saltfleetby Gas Field (“SGF”).  The full CPR is available for download in the “Presentations” section of the Company’s website (www.angusenergy.co.uk/media/presentations).

The CPR, performed by Oilfield International Limited, gives the net present value of the cash flows from SGF, including the impact from the revised capex, the senior loan facility debt service costs, the associated royalties and the mandatory hedging.  Oilfield International Limited has used a discount rate of 10%. The CPR is updated from the previous CPR commissioned by Angus in October 2021 (“2021 CPR”).

The new CPR has taken account of production performance from the 3 wells in the SGF in the period from August 2022, when it was brought on line, to the end of July 2023. During this time, 2 BCF of sales gas has been processed and exported. The CPR includes an allowance for plant availability of 92.3% and an estimate of gas consumed in operations of 10% (P50) to 15% (P90), compared to 2.75% in the 2021 CPR, one of the reasons for the decrease in P50 Reserves as noted above. The Company is confident that gas usage will prove to be lower than this estimate once the plant has fully stabilised with the new flowline in operation.

Two further wells on the Main Westphalian reservoir, SF9 and SF10, are scheduled to enter production in January 2025 and January 2026 respectively, to extend plateau production and accelerate the extraction of gas.  The cost of these additional wells, expected to be funded out of field cashflows, has been included in the NPV10 valuations outlined above.

We highlight below the NCF and NPV10, discounted to August 1st, 2023: Net Attributable to the Company:

Net Cash Flow Attributable to the Company

 

NPV10 Attributable to the Company

Operator

Scenario

1P

2P

1P

2P

Including AEWB’s Contractual Loan terms

£m MOD

£m MOD

£m MOD

£m MOD

AEWB

Pre-Tax

£125.4m

£153.5m

£86.9m

£104.1m

Post-Tax

£78.9m

£90.6m

£57.1m

£64.3m

MOD: money of the day

The CPR includes Reserves in the Main Field Westphalian Reservoir and Contigent Resources in the Main Field Namurian Reservoir and Southern Lobe Westphalian Reservoir as follows:

Main Field Westphalian Reservoir: Sales Gas Reserves: Gross, and Net Attributable to the Company after Royalties:

Saltfleetby Field*

Gross

Net Attributable to AE

Operator

Sales Gas Reserves

1P

2P

1P

2P

BCF

BCF

BCF

BCF

Main Field Westphalian Reservoir

24.2

27.2

22.4

25.2

AEWB

Main Field Westphalian Reservoir: Sales Liquids Reserves: Gross, and Net Attributable to the Company after Royalties:

Saltfleetby Field*

Gross

Net Attributable to AE

Operator

Sales Gas Reserves

1P

2P

1P

2P

M STB

M STB

M STB

M STB

Main Field Westphalian Reservoir

357

447

332

415

AEWB

* Angus Energy Plc (“AE”) through its wholly owned subsdiaries Angus Energy Weald Basin No 3 Ltd (“AWEB”) and Saltfleetby Energy Limited, has a 100% working interest in the Saltfleetby Gas Field which is part of the UK onshore licence PEDL005. The figures quoted above have been prepared in compliance with the SPE Petroleum Resource Management System (SPE-PRMS).

Both cases are inclusive of the projected Energy Profits Levy, which has had a major impact on the valuation of SGF. Despite this, the CPR has confirmed the significant value of the field and the value of additional drilling to accelerate the production of the field’s reserves.

Contingent Gas Resources: Main Field Namurian Reservoir and Southern Lobe Westphalian Reservoir

Saltfleetby Field

Gross

Operator

Sales Gas Contingent Resources

1C

2C

3C

BCF

BCF

BCF

Main Field Westphalian Reservoir

0.1

1.7

3.7

AEWB

Southern Satellite Westphalian Reservoir

10.2

15.6

22.9

Total Remaining Recoverable Gas

10.3

17.2

26.7

 The 1C Sales Gas Contingent Resources are stated net of 15% Gas Consumed in Operations (CiO). The 2C and 3C are stated net of 10% CiO. In the 2021 report, they were stated net of 2.75% CiO.

Contingent Liquids Resources: Main Field Namurian Reservoir and Southern Lobe Westphalian Reservoir

Saltfleetby Field

Gross

Operator

Liquids Contingent Resources

1C

2C

3C

M STB

M STB

M STB

Main Field Westphalian Reservoir

3

26

57

AEWB

Southern Satellite Westphalian Reservoir

152

213

275

Total Remaining Recoverable Gas

155

238

332

More information about Angus’ plans for SGF will be shared as the Company progesses with its projects. A full production update will be given, as usual, at the end of the calendar quarter

Richard Herbert, CEO of the Company commented “Following the redevelopment of the Saltfleeby Field and a first year of successful production, it is very reassuring to confirm from the production of the 3 wells in the field that the reservoir is performing according to our expectations. We have been able to narrow the range of uncertainty on the Reserves, with a significant increase in the P90 high-confidence estimate. Despite using a more conservative shrinkage factor for gas consumed in operations and the significant impact of the Energy Profits Levy, net cash flow, discounted and undiscounted, remains strong. This evaluation allows us to plan the next phase of development of the Saltfleetby reservoir with confidence.”


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