WTI $38.38 +$1.26, Brent $40.96 +$1.24, Diff -$2.58 -2c, NG $1.61 -6c
By Malcolm Graham-Wood
Nothing much to add this morning, crude added over a dollar on the back of a much improved IEA report that I mentioned yesterday. Also as all the industry big cheeses hung out virtually last night the UAE Minister said ‘we are seeing encouraging signs of re-balancing in the oil market and the beginnings of an economic recovery.
The API stats were worse than expected but until today’s EIA stats the market is slightly better again with Brent nicely above 41 bucks. Today sees the meeting of the Opec+ Joint Technical Committee, a lower level to the JMMC Committee which meets tomorrow.
Chariot Oil & Gas
2019 finals today but as with as with all these companies it is the focus on the here and now that investors are most interested in. Chariot has sensibly updated its corporate strategy ‘to fit with the evolving market dynamics’ ie less frontier exploration until say a discovery is made in adjacent blocks.
All upstream projects need to demonstrate ESG credentials, ever important in this day and age and CHAR are taking this very seriously in tandem with tight capital discipline. Financially the company remains very strong with a sound balance sheet and no debt.
So, Lixus with Anchois and its increasingly exciting satellites is ‘a material, huge value gas project with a route to free cash flow and offers potential for a low risk near-term development opportunity and material, strategic entry into a fast growing Moroccan energy market and access to the Spanish and Portuguese gas markets.
Chariot are targeting production of 53 MMscf/d and at $8/mcf which gives revenue of c.$150m p.a. and capex paid back in 2-3 years. Technicals are underway, the feasibility study is done, it will be a subsea-to-shore development with two wells tied back to a subsea manifold, from which a flowline and control umbilical connect to an onshore CPF and this is all current, off-the-shelf technology.
The EIA is approved and the pre-FEED work is progressing and maybe most importantly the company is ‘in discussion with a broad spectrum of potential farm-in partners, multi-lateral lending agencies, debt finance providers, reserved based lenders, midstream service providers and downstream off-takers’.
Chariot has performed well in recent weeks but the market will be pleased to see that the management are finding it possible to make strides on Lixus across the board and with its strong finances and absence of debt is poised to achieve significant growth in coming months.
An operational update from Wentworth this morning, Mnazi Bay is fully operational with 2020 production guidance unchanged at 65-75 MMscf/d gross with no reported cases of COVID-19 which has meant that restrictions have been lifted in Tanzania.
Gas volumes will now rise into the second half as the rainy season has now passed. WRL is debt free and the company has $15.7m of cash as at the end of May, it declared a $2m dividend in April which will be paid at the end of June.
Wentworth looks like one of the best plays in the sector with its defensive appeal combined with flexibility in-country and outside. Financially strong and with Mnazi Bay income as solid as virtually is possible and the management is proving to be first rate. The shares are a steal…
Royal Ascot continues today with a magnificent card as one would expect, its not the same and the normally reliable ITV coverage is a bit wobbly, presumably as they think that the TV is on at Windsor Castle…
And the football season restarts today, Villa take on high flying Blades and the Gooners go to the Noisy Neighbours.
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